Mexico vs South Africa
Matchday 1 · Jun 11, 2026 · 13:00:00 UTC-6
🇲🇽
Mexico
CONCACAF
2–0
FT🇿🇦
South Africa
CAF
Estadio Azteca, Mexico City, Mexico · 83,000 capacity
⛰ 2,240m altitude
BallSignal ML prediction
Win/draw/loss probabilities computed from ELO, recent form, market value, H2H, and home advantage.
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Head-to-head metrics going into kick-off.
1835ELO Rating1531
2.20Recent 5 PPM0.80
€152MTop-11 Value (€M)€20M
13Injuries (365d)4
60World Cup matches9
30%Recent 10 WR40%
Head-to-head record
2 WMexico
1 DSouth Africa1 W
4 prior matches
Goals scored
10 – 5
Mexico win rate
50%
Context
Same confederationNo
Mexico plays in home countryYes
South Africa plays in home countryNo
Mexico all-time WC apps60
Mexico WC win rate28.3%
South Africa all-time WC apps9
South Africa WC win rate22.2%
Live winner odds
| Team | Polymarket | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|
| Mexico | ||
| South Africa |
Tournament-winner prices from Polymarket & Kalshi vs the model. Updates live.
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