Mexico vs South Korea
Matchday 8 · Jun 18, 2026 · 19:00:00 UTC-6
🇲🇽
Mexico
CONCACAF
vs
🇰🇷
South Korea
AFC
Estadio Akron, Guadalajara (Zapopan), Mexico · 48,000 capacity
⛰ 1,560m altitude🌡 20°C · 🌧 80% rain · 💨 12 km/h
Live & match facts
Market odds (DraftKings)
MEX 48%Draw 29%KOR 23%
Mexico
South Korea
BallSignal ML prediction
Win/draw/loss probabilities computed from ELO, recent form, market value, H2H, and home advantage.
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Head-to-head metrics going into kick-off.
1835ELO Rating1784
1.80Recent 5 PPM1.40
€152MTop-11 Value (€M)€132M
13Injuries (365d)12
60World Cup matches38
30%Recent 10 WR50%
Head-to-head record
8 WMexico
3 DSouth Korea3 W
14 prior matches
Goals scored
28 – 15
Mexico win rate
57%
Context
Same confederationNo
Mexico plays in home countryYes
South Korea plays in home countryNo
Mexico all-time WC apps60
Mexico WC win rate28.3%
South Korea all-time WC apps38
South Korea WC win rate18.4%
Live winner odds
| Team | Polymarket | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|
| Mexico | ||
| South Korea |
Tournament-winner prices from Polymarket & Kalshi vs the model. Updates live.
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Polymarket
Kalshi