USA vs Paraguay
Matchday 2 · Jun 12, 2026 · 18:00:00 UTC-7
🇺🇸
USA
CONCACAF
4–1
FT🇵🇾
Paraguay
CONMEBOL
SoFi Stadium, Los Angeles (Inglewood), United States · 70,000 capacity
BallSignal ML prediction
Win/draw/loss probabilities computed from ELO, recent form, market value, H2H, and home advantage.
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Head-to-head metrics going into kick-off.
1747ELO Rating1833
1.80Recent 5 PPM1.20
€307MTop-11 Value (€M)€119M
60Injuries (365d)11
37World Cup matches27
50%Recent 10 WR40%
Head-to-head record
5 WUSA
2 DParaguay2 W
9 prior matches
Goals scored
12 – 7
USA win rate
56%
Context
Same confederationNo
USA plays in home countryYes
Paraguay plays in home countryNo
USA all-time WC apps37
USA WC win rate24.3%
Paraguay all-time WC apps27
Paraguay WC win rate25.9%
Live winner odds
| Team | Polymarket | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|
| USA | ||
| Paraguay |
Tournament-winner prices from Polymarket & Kalshi vs the model. Updates live.
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