Ecuador vs Germany
Matchday 15 · Jun 25, 2026 · 16:00:00 UTC-4
🇪🇨
Ecuador
CONMEBOL
vs
🇩🇪
Germany
UEFA
MetLife Stadium, New York/New Jersey (East Rutherford), United States · 82,500 capacity
🌡 25°C · 🌧 30% rain · 💨 16 km/h
BallSignal ML prediction
Win/draw/loss probabilities computed from ELO, recent form, market value, H2H, and home advantage.
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Head-to-head metrics going into kick-off.
1933ELO Rating1910
1.40Recent 5 PPM2.20
€302MTop-11 Value (€M)€695M
5Injuries (365d)406
13World Cup matches112
20%Recent 10 WR70%
Head-to-head record
0 WEcuador
0 DGermany2 W
2 prior matches
Goals scored
2 – 7
Ecuador win rate
0%
Context
Same confederationNo
Ecuador plays in home countryNo
Germany plays in home countryNo
Ecuador all-time WC apps13
Ecuador WC win rate38.5%
Germany all-time WC apps112
Germany WC win rate60.7%
Live winner odds
| Team | Polymarket | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|
| Ecuador | ||
| Germany |
Tournament-winner prices from Polymarket & Kalshi vs the model. Updates live.
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