Netherlands vs Japan
Matchday 4 · Jun 14, 2026 · 15:00:00 UTC-5
🇳🇱
Netherlands
UEFA
2–2
FT🇯🇵
Japan
AFC
AT&T Stadium, Dallas (Arlington, Texas), United States · 94,000 capacity
BallSignal ML prediction
Win/draw/loss probabilities computed from ELO, recent form, market value, H2H, and home advantage.
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Head-to-head metrics going into kick-off.
1959ELO Rating1878
2.20Recent 5 PPM3.00
€615MTop-11 Value (€M)€234M
89Injuries (365d)43
55World Cup matches25
70%Recent 10 WR60%
Head-to-head record
2 WNetherlands
1 DJapan0 W
3 prior matches
Goals scored
6 – 2
Netherlands win rate
67%
Context
Same confederationNo
Netherlands plays in home countryNo
Japan plays in home countryNo
Netherlands all-time WC apps55
Netherlands WC win rate54.5%
Japan all-time WC apps25
Japan WC win rate28.0%
Live winner odds
| Team | Polymarket | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|
| Netherlands | ||
| Japan |
Tournament-winner prices from Polymarket & Kalshi vs the model. Updates live.
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