Sweden vs Tunisia
Matchday 4 · Jun 14, 2026 · 20:00:00 UTC-6
🇸🇪
Sweden
UEFA
5–1
FT🇹🇳
Tunisia
CAF
Estadio BBVA, Monterrey (Guadalupe), Mexico · 53,500 capacity
BallSignal ML prediction
Win/draw/loss probabilities computed from ELO, recent form, market value, H2H, and home advantage.
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Head-to-head metrics going into kick-off.
1660ELO Rating1641
1.40Recent 5 PPM1.20
€471MTop-11 Value (€M)€82M
28Injuries (365d)8
51World Cup matches18
40%Recent 10 WR30%
Head-to-head record
2 WSweden
1 DTunisia1 W
4 prior matches
Goals scored
3 – 2
Sweden win rate
50%
Context
Same confederationNo
Sweden plays in home countryNo
Tunisia plays in home countryNo
Sweden all-time WC apps51
Sweden WC win rate37.3%
Tunisia all-time WC apps18
Tunisia WC win rate16.7%
Live winner odds
| Team | Polymarket | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|
| Sweden | ||
| Tunisia |
Tournament-winner prices from Polymarket & Kalshi vs the model. Updates live.
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