Netherlands vs Sweden

Matchday 10 · Jun 20, 2026 · 12:00:00 UTC-5

🇳🇱
Netherlands
UEFA
vs
🇸🇪
Sweden
UEFA
NRG Stadium, Houston, United States · 72,000 capacity
🌡 31°C · 🌧 14% rain · 💨 12 km/h

Live & match facts

Market odds (DraftKings)
NED 56%Draw 24%SWE 20%
Netherlands
    Sweden

      BallSignal ML prediction

      Win/draw/loss probabilities computed from ELO, recent form, market value, H2H, and home advantage.

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      Pre-match comparison

      Head-to-head metrics going into kick-off.

      1959ELO Rating1660
      1.80Recent 5 PPM1.60
      €615MTop-11 Value (€M)€471M
      87Injuries (365d)25
      55World Cup matches51
      60%Recent 10 WR30%

      Head-to-head record

      11 WNetherlands
      6 D
      Sweden8 W

      25 prior matches

      Goals scored
      4748
      Netherlands win rate
      44%

      Context

      Same confederationYes
      Netherlands plays in home countryNo
      Sweden plays in home countryNo
      Netherlands all-time WC apps55
      Netherlands WC win rate54.5%
      Sweden all-time WC apps51
      Sweden WC win rate37.3%
      Live winner odds
      TeamPolymarketKalshi
      Netherlands
      Sweden

      Tournament-winner prices from Polymarket & Kalshi vs the model. Updates live.

      Latest news
      Live order books
      Polymarket
      Kalshi