Japan vs Sweden
Matchday 15 · Jun 25, 2026 · 18:00:00 UTC-5
🇯🇵
Japan
AFC
vs
🇸🇪
Sweden
UEFA
AT&T Stadium, Dallas (Arlington, Texas), United States · 94,000 capacity
🌡 32°C · 🌧 4% rain · 💨 8 km/h
BallSignal ML prediction
Win/draw/loss probabilities computed from ELO, recent form, market value, H2H, and home advantage.
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Head-to-head metrics going into kick-off.
1878ELO Rating1660
2.20Recent 5 PPM1.80
€234MTop-11 Value (€M)€471M
39Injuries (365d)25
25World Cup matches51
50%Recent 10 WR20%
Head-to-head record
0 WJapan
3 DSweden1 W
4 prior matches
Goals scored
4 – 5
Japan win rate
0%
Context
Same confederationNo
Japan plays in home countryNo
Sweden plays in home countryNo
Japan all-time WC apps25
Japan WC win rate28.0%
Sweden all-time WC apps51
Sweden WC win rate37.3%
Live winner odds
| Team | Polymarket | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|
| Japan | ||
| Sweden |
Tournament-winner prices from Polymarket & Kalshi vs the model. Updates live.
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Live order books
Polymarket
Kalshi