Uruguay vs Spain
Matchday 16 · Jun 26, 2026 · 18:00:00 UTC-6
🇺🇾
Uruguay
CONMEBOL
vs
🇪🇸
Spain
UEFA
Estadio Akron, Guadalajara (Zapopan), Mexico · 48,000 capacity
⛰ 1,560m altitude🌡 19°C · 🌧 80% rain · 💨 11 km/h
BallSignal ML prediction
Win/draw/loss probabilities computed from ELO, recent form, market value, H2H, and home advantage.
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Head-to-head metrics going into kick-off.
1890ELO Rating2171
0.80Recent 5 PPM1.40
€390MTop-11 Value (€M)€1210M
29Injuries (365d)113
59World Cup matches67
30%Recent 10 WR60%
Head-to-head record
0 WUruguay
5 DSpain5 W
10 prior matches
Goals scored
8 – 16
Uruguay win rate
0%
Context
Same confederationNo
Uruguay plays in home countryNo
Spain plays in home countryNo
Uruguay all-time WC apps59
Uruguay WC win rate42.4%
Spain all-time WC apps67
Spain WC win rate46.3%
Live winner odds
| Team | Polymarket | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|
| Uruguay | ||
| Spain |
Tournament-winner prices from Polymarket & Kalshi vs the model. Updates live.
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